I’m going to take the under…
27 05 2007I saw some weird show on the History Channel, and I didn’t catch all of it, but some scientist was talking about not being able to grasp the immense amount of luck that the Earth existed, was habitable, developed life, and then managed to sustain it long enough for it to evolve into intelligent life. He said, “Imagine if you took that one step further– how incredible are the odds that you and me exist today?” How incredible are they I ask?
I have no clue what the odds of a universe forming are. I’ll leave it at 1:2, but science can’t grasp that yet since no one knows how a universe comes about after nothingness. The odds of ending up with this specific star are 1:10^20 (since that’s the number of stars in the universe). The number of star systems with planets is between 5% and 20% (as the universe ages, this number actually increases because more heavy element stars arise– but I digress) so we’ll say the odds of our solar system developing planets is 1:10. The odds of a planet forming within a habitable radius of the sun is roughly 1:10. The odds of developing life on a planet within habitual regions is given at a generous 1:100. The odds of that life developing into intelligent life is also 1:100. The odds of your parents meeting and marrying is 1:100 (again, very generous). The odds of your exact DNA resulting after meiosis is 1:10,000 x 2 for both parents. The odds of your sperm fertilizing the egg is 1:20,000,000.
From this drunken, shitty math, and completely unscientific survey (unlike when Baseball Tonight tested as to whether the disgust with Barry Bonds was race-motivated, not at all because of the cantankerous attitude and of course, the steroids– now THAT’S a scientific study), the odds of you arising assuming a clean slate and still many factors that I’m going with 1:1 (odds ancestors do exactly as planned so you are born– this has to be like 1:a really big number) are… 1 in 8 x 10^39. That’s 1:8,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000,000.
Pretty long odds, huh? Out of all the things that could have happened, you ended up here, on Earth, orbiting around the sun, being born on your given birthday, in this given era, to your given parents, who have their given ancestors, with your given genes…
Categories : Randomness...
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